ResearchMethodology

Sealed Price Benchmark: Shipping-Included Floor vs Shipping-Excluded Averages

TCGstacker's shipping-included floor measured daily against TCGplayer's shipping-excluded market price.

AdrienneData updated daily · Last refresh: September 10, 2026 · Price history since February 8, 2024 · 4 min read

TCGstacker publishes market data, not financial advice. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell anything.

What the data shows

As of September 10, 2026, across 5 sealed anchor SKUs with at least 30 daily verified-floor observations each, the cheapest actually-buyable listing including shipping sits a median 3.4% below TCGplayer's shipping-excluded market price. Single-day gaps across those SKUs ran from -23.5% to +6.8%; the shipped floor was above the market price on 50 of 260 observed days.

What is being compared

This page compares two different questions, not two estimates of the same thing. TCGstacker's verified floor answers "what can I actually buy this for, shipped, right now" — it's read directly off the live TCGplayer listing book, refetched daily since 2026-07-18. TCGplayer's own Market Price and PriceCharting's number both answer a different question, "what did this typically sell for" — and both explicitly exclude shipping.

QuestionTCGstacker verified floorShipping-excluded sold averages
What it answersWhat's actually buyable right now, shippedWhat recently sold, on average
ShippingIncludedExcluded — TCGplayer: "We take the prices at which a collectible has been selling, average across multiple recent transactions… while ignoring outliers that would affect the traditional LO-MID-HI scale." (TCGplayer help center, article 213588017, fetched 2026-08-06). PriceCharting: "Shipping Costs Are Not Included. The prices shown do not include shipping costs or any other transaction related costs." (pricecharting.com/page/methodology, fetched 2026-08-06)
Source of the numberThe live TCGplayer listing book, refetched dailyTCGplayer: a trailing average of recent sold transactions. PriceCharting: blends "most recent sale price, median price, average price, [and] age weighted average price" from eBay sold listings.
Effect of a shill or fake saleA fake sale can't move it — the floor is read off listings a buyer must actually pay to take; a mispriced listing is caught by the sanity filters belowCan pull the average toward it; on r/gamecollecting (r/gamecollecting, 2023-07-09, fetched 2026-08-06): "They often use these shill auctions to calculate average prices." Read the thread
Refresh cadenceDailyNot publicly disclosed by either source
Sanity filtersJunk "custom" listings excluded; any remaining listing under 50% of TCGplayer's market price is droppedTCGplayer says it ignores outliers; PriceCharting's outlier handling isn't publicly documented

Gap table

5 qualifying SKUs, 260 verified-floor observations total, 2026-07-182026-09-10. Median-of-medians gap: -3.4%. The shipped floor was above TCGplayer's market price on 50 of 260 paired observation-days (19.2%).

ProductSetDays observedWindowLatest floor incl. shippingLatest market excl. shippingLatest gapMedian gapGap rangeDays floor above market
151 Elite Trainer BoxSV: Scarlet & Violet 151552026-07-182026-09-10$529.86$556.03-4.7%-3.4%-6.7% → -0.1%0 / 55
Romance Dawn - Booster Box (Wave 2 - White)Romance Dawn552026-07-182026-09-10$1,255.99$1,468.78-14.5%-11.6%-14.5% → -9.9%0 / 55
Evolving Skies Booster BoxSWSH07: Evolving Skies542026-07-182026-09-10$2,389.98$2,458.04-2.8%-2.8%-17.6% → +6.8%18 / 54
Prismatic Evolutions Elite Trainer BoxSV: Prismatic Evolutions542026-07-182026-09-10$149.00$150.09-0.7%+0.3%-3.7% → +4.0%32 / 54
Romance Dawn - Booster Box (Wave 1 - Blue)Romance Dawn422026-07-312026-09-10$4,789.49$4,940.80-3.1%-9.3%-23.5% → -1.2%0 / 42

How to reproduce this table

Every number in the gap table above is reproducible from the evidence tables below. For a single day, gap percent equals (floor price − TCGplayer market price) ÷ TCGplayer market price × 100; floor price is the cheapest actually-buyable TCGplayer listing including shipping that day, and market price is TCGplayer's own shipping-excluded Market Price from that same daily fetch.

A SKU's median gap is the median of that day-by-day gap across every "paired" day — a day with both a floor and a market price. Days with a floor but no TCGplayer market price are excluded from the median, never estimated. The 30-observation threshold is the kill rule: a SKU appears in the gap table only once its own evidence table below reaches 30 rows. This benchmark spans pipeline dates 2026-07-18 through 2026-09-10.

TCGstacker does not fetch, scrape, or republish PriceCharting's own numbers — its methodology is quoted above, from its own published page, and nothing more.

Evidence tables

These tables are the public source for every figure on this page; there is no separate download.

151 Elite Trainer Box55 daily observations, 2026-07-182026-09-10
DateFloor incl. shippingMarket excl. shippingGapListingsFloor qtySuspect
2026-07-18$616.71$617.10-0.1%2510
2026-07-19$614.99$617.10-0.3%2530
2026-07-20$612.98$618.30-0.9%2510
2026-07-21$614.99$620.42-0.9%2510
2026-07-22$614.99$620.42-0.9%2510
2026-07-23$614.99$619.14-0.7%2510
2026-07-24$614.00$618.70-0.8%2510
2026-07-25$605.99$618.70-2.1%2510
2026-07-26$605.99$617.66-1.9%2510
2026-07-27$614.00$616.78-0.5%2570
2026-07-28$605.99$615.74-1.6%2510
2026-07-29$591.99$617.14-4.1%2520
2026-07-30$582.98$616.10-5.4%2510
2026-07-31$582.99$612.02-4.7%2520
2026-08-01$575.99$609.42-5.5%2510
2026-08-02$576.99$606.46-4.9%2510
2026-08-03$571.99$602.72-5.1%2510
2026-08-04$569.99$602.72-5.4%2510
2026-08-05$566.99$601.12-5.7%2510
2026-08-06$566.95$601.12-5.7%2520
2026-08-07$571.99$593.10-3.6%2510
2026-08-08$571.90$593.02-3.6%2530
2026-08-09$571.00$593.02-3.7%2510
2026-08-10$551.99$591.86-6.7%2510
2026-08-11$568.50$590.34-3.7%2510
2026-08-12$568.48$590.34-3.7%2510
2026-08-13$566.94$590.34-4.0%2510
2026-08-14$566.98$588.10-3.6%2510
2026-08-15$566.97$584.25-3.0%2510
2026-08-16$566.97$578.70-2.0%2510
2026-08-17$566.99$575.60-1.5%2510
2026-08-18$567.00$574.20-1.3%2520
2026-08-19$567.00$572.38-0.9%2510
2026-08-20$566.68$575.02-1.5%2510
2026-08-21$565.69$575.02-1.6%2510
2026-08-22$554.99$574.15-3.3%2510
2026-08-23$554.69$573.19-3.2%2510
2026-08-24$567.00$568.82-0.3%2510
2026-08-25$568.49$568.82-0.1%2510
2026-08-26$564.99$569.54-0.8%2510
2026-08-27$565.00$569.54-0.8%2510
2026-08-28$563.00$569.54-1.1%2510
2026-08-29$562.00$569.54-1.3%2530
2026-08-30$559.48$569.14-1.7%2510
2026-08-31$550.00$569.14-3.4%2510
2026-09-01$547.89$569.14-3.7%2540
2026-09-02$545.89$569.14-4.1%2540
2026-09-03$542.00$569.14-4.8%2520
2026-09-04$537.89$565.05-4.8%2520
2026-09-05$529.89$565.05-6.2%2540
2026-09-06$529.89$565.05-6.2%2540
2026-09-07$529.87$560.54-5.5%2520
2026-09-08$529.87$560.54-5.5%2520
2026-09-09$529.87$559.06-5.2%2510
2026-09-10$529.86$556.03-4.7%2520
Romance Dawn - Booster Box (Wave 2 - White)55 daily observations, 2026-07-182026-09-10
DateFloor incl. shippingMarket excl. shippingGapListingsFloor qtySuspect
2026-07-18$1,400.00$1,618.83-13.5%2510
2026-07-19$1,399.00$1,591.68-12.1%2510
2026-07-20$1,399.00$1,569.68-10.9%2510
2026-07-21$1,399.00$1,569.68-10.9%2570
2026-07-22$1,399.00$1,569.68-10.9%2570
2026-07-23$1,399.00$1,569.68-10.9%2570
2026-07-24$1,399.00$1,553.16-9.9%2470
2026-07-25$1,399.00$1,553.16-9.9%2470
2026-07-26$1,355.99$1,553.16-12.7%2570
2026-07-27$1,355.99$1,569.68-13.6%2470
2026-07-28$1,355.99$1,569.68-13.6%2470
2026-07-29$1,355.94$1,569.68-13.6%2410
2026-07-30$1,355.94$1,569.68-13.6%2410
2026-07-31$1,355.94$1,569.68-13.6%2410
2026-08-01$1,355.94$1,551.52-12.6%2170
2026-08-02$1,355.94$1,551.52-12.6%2370
2026-08-03$1,355.94$1,551.52-12.6%2370
2026-08-04$1,355.94$1,551.52-12.6%2470
2026-08-05$1,355.94$1,537.67-11.8%2360
2026-08-06$1,355.93$1,525.83-11.1%2310
2026-08-07$1,355.93$1,525.83-11.1%2310
2026-08-08$1,355.93$1,525.83-11.1%2410
2026-08-09$1,349.99$1,525.83-11.5%2410
2026-08-10$1,349.88$1,525.83-11.5%2550
2026-08-11$1,349.00$1,525.83-11.6%2520
2026-08-12$1,348.99$1,525.83-11.6%2510
2026-08-13$1,348.99$1,515.79-11.0%2510
2026-08-14$1,348.99$1,515.79-11.0%2550
2026-08-15$1,348.98$1,515.79-11.0%2510
2026-08-16$1,348.97$1,515.79-11.0%2550
2026-08-17$1,304.95$1,515.79-13.9%2510
2026-08-18$1,304.93$1,515.79-13.9%2510
2026-08-19$1,304.93$1,502.99-13.2%2510
2026-08-20$1,304.99$1,502.99-13.2%2410
2026-08-21$1,304.99$1,491.23-12.5%2450
2026-08-22$1,304.99$1,491.23-12.5%2450
2026-08-23$1,304.99$1,491.23-12.5%2450
2026-08-24$1,304.87$1,491.23-12.5%2510
2026-08-25$1,304.90$1,491.23-12.5%2410
2026-08-26$1,304.90$1,491.23-12.5%2510
2026-08-27$1,304.99$1,476.42-11.6%2550
2026-08-28$1,304.99$1,476.42-11.6%2550
2026-08-29$1,304.99$1,476.42-11.6%2450
2026-08-30$1,304.99$1,468.38-11.1%2350
2026-08-31$1,300.00$1,468.78-11.5%2310
2026-09-01$1,300.00$1,468.78-11.5%2210
2026-09-02$1,300.00$1,468.78-11.5%2410
2026-09-03$1,300.00$1,468.78-11.5%2310
2026-09-04$1,300.00$1,468.78-11.5%2310
2026-09-05$1,300.00$1,468.78-11.5%2410
2026-09-06$1,300.00$1,468.78-11.5%2510
2026-09-07$1,300.00$1,468.78-11.5%2550
2026-09-08$1,300.00$1,468.78-11.5%2510
2026-09-09$1,255.99$1,468.78-14.5%2510
2026-09-10$1,255.99$1,468.78-14.5%2550
Evolving Skies Booster Box54 daily observations, 2026-07-182026-09-10
DateFloor incl. shippingMarket excl. shippingGapListingsFloor qtySuspect
2026-07-18$2,558.99$2,601.09-1.6%2510
2026-07-19$2,524.98$2,601.09-2.9%2510
2026-07-20$2,524.98$2,601.09-2.9%2510
2026-07-21$2,454.50$2,601.09-5.6%2510
2026-07-22$2,320.99$2,601.09-10.8%2550
2026-07-23$2,320.50$2,601.09-10.8%2510
2026-07-24$2,320.50$2,601.09-10.8%2510
2026-07-25$2,320.50$2,601.09-10.8%2510
2026-07-26$2,320.99$2,557.24-9.2%2550
2026-07-27$2,320.99$2,529.84-8.3%2540
2026-07-28$2,320.99$2,519.80-7.9%2530
2026-07-29$2,320.98$2,519.80-7.9%2510
2026-07-30$2,320.98$2,519.80-7.9%2510
2026-07-31$2,409.98$2,510.64-4.0%2510
2026-08-01$2,409.98$2,510.64-4.0%2510
2026-08-02$2,409.98$2,510.64-4.0%2510
2026-08-03$2,409.98$2,510.64-4.0%2510
2026-08-04$2,409.98$2,510.64-4.0%2510
2026-08-05$2,409.98$2,497.04-3.5%2510
2026-08-06$2,364.99$2,488.04-4.9%2510
2026-08-07$2,364.99$2,462.82-4.0%2510
2026-08-08$2,364.99$2,462.82-4.0%2510
2026-08-09$2,358.99$2,453.22-3.8%2510
2026-08-10$2,508.99$2,441.26+2.8%2510
2026-08-11$2,409.99$2,441.26-1.3%2510
2026-08-12$2,599.98$2,434.86+6.8%2550
2026-08-13$2,564.98$2,437.06+5.2%2540
2026-08-14$2,524.99$2,437.06+3.6%2510
2026-08-15$2,524.98$2,444.90+3.3%2520
2026-08-16$2,524.98$2,444.90+3.3%2520
2026-08-17$2,524.98$2,444.90+3.3%2520
2026-08-18$2,514.98$2,444.90+2.9%2560
2026-08-19$2,520.00$2,445.10+3.1%2510
2026-08-20$2,520.00$2,460.46+2.4%2510
2026-08-21$2,499.99$2,460.46+1.6%2510
2026-08-22$2,499.99$2,460.46+1.6%2510
2026-08-24$2,499.99$2,460.46+1.6%2510
2026-08-25$2,492.00$2,460.46+1.3%2510
2026-08-26$2,499.99$2,474.88+1.0%2510
2026-08-27$2,494.98$2,474.88+0.8%2550
2026-08-28$2,494.95$2,474.88+0.8%2560
2026-08-29$2,248.99$2,474.88-9.1%2530
2026-08-30$2,038.99$2,475.12-17.6%2530
2026-08-31$2,258.99$2,453.92-7.9%2520
2026-09-01$2,459.97$2,460.12-0.0%2510
2026-09-02$2,459.98$2,458.52+0.1%2510
2026-09-03$2,449.00$2,458.52-0.4%2520
2026-09-04$2,449.00$2,458.52-0.4%2520
2026-09-05$2,389.99$2,458.52-2.8%2510
2026-09-06$2,389.99$2,458.52-2.8%2510
2026-09-07$2,389.99$2,458.52-2.8%2510
2026-09-08$2,389.99$2,453.24-2.6%2510
2026-09-09$2,389.98$2,458.04-2.8%2510
2026-09-10$2,389.98$2,458.04-2.8%2510
Prismatic Evolutions Elite Trainer Box54 daily observations, 2026-07-182026-09-10
DateFloor incl. shippingMarket excl. shippingGapListingsFloor qtySuspect
2026-07-18$167.00$168.16-0.7%2580
2026-07-19$164.99$170.88-3.4%2510
2026-07-20$164.40$170.76-3.7%2530
2026-07-21$164.50$165.44-0.6%2520
2026-07-22$168.99$163.80+3.2%2510
2026-07-23$169.00$165.36+2.2%2540
2026-07-24$168.99$165.03+2.4%2530
2026-07-25$164.99$164.83+0.1%2510
2026-07-26$168.97$168.29+0.4%25210
2026-07-27$168.97$169.08-0.1%25180
2026-07-28$167.95$167.23+0.4%25130
2026-07-29$168.97$166.59+1.4%2510
2026-07-30$167.00$166.71+0.2%2540
2026-07-31$165.37$164.49+0.5%2590
2026-08-01$164.95$161.90+1.9%2530
2026-08-02$164.98$163.73+0.8%2520
2026-08-03$164.75$162.80+1.2%2510
2026-08-04$160.00$163.22-2.0%2510
2026-08-05$163.45$157.23+4.0%2520
2026-08-06$160.55$160.93-0.2%2580
2026-08-07$159.50$158.56+0.6%2520
2026-08-08$159.72$158.77+0.6%2550
2026-08-09$159.69$159.16+0.3%2530
2026-08-10$155.00$158.62-2.3%2510
2026-08-11$159.99$157.37+1.7%2520
2026-08-13$167.99$161.62+3.9%2510
2026-08-14$168.97$166.52+1.5%2520
2026-08-15$168.97$168.23+0.4%2530
2026-08-16$167.50$168.87-0.8%2510
2026-08-17$166.95$167.21-0.2%2510
2026-08-18$166.88$166.52+0.2%2510
2026-08-19$166.87$166.49+0.2%2510
2026-08-20$163.99$167.18-1.9%2590
2026-08-21$163.99$163.37+0.4%2540
2026-08-22$163.67$161.06+1.6%2520
2026-08-23$162.71$162.710.0%2510
2026-08-24$164.00$162.43+1.0%2520
2026-08-25$160.00$161.99-1.2%25130
2026-08-26$158.00$159.62-1.0%25200
2026-08-27$157.30$158.64-0.8%25100
2026-08-28$155.24$155.93-0.4%25130
2026-08-29$153.95$151.07+1.9%2510
2026-08-30$150.74$148.13+1.8%2540
2026-08-31$152.99$151.23+1.2%2530
2026-09-01$154.93$158.10-2.0%2580
2026-09-02$154.93$155.50-0.4%2510
2026-09-03$152.00$154.51-1.6%25600
2026-09-04$151.00$150.36+0.4%2510
2026-09-05$151.99$151.54+0.3%2510
2026-09-06$150.00$154.66-3.0%2510
2026-09-07$151.99$154.84-1.8%2530
2026-09-08$152.94$151.62+0.9%2510
2026-09-09$153.80$151.19+1.7%2520
2026-09-10$149.00$150.09-0.7%2510
Romance Dawn - Booster Box (Wave 1 - Blue)42 daily observations, 2026-07-312026-09-10
DateFloor incl. shippingMarket excl. shippingGapListingsFloor qtySuspect
2026-07-31$4,930.00$5,622.48-12.3%1710
2026-08-01$4,923.00$5,622.48-12.4%1710
2026-08-02$4,921.98$5,622.48-12.5%1710
2026-08-03$4,919.00$5,622.48-12.5%1710
2026-08-04$4,899.00$5,622.48-12.9%1610
2026-08-05$4,849.00$5,622.48-13.8%1710
2026-08-06$4,799.00$5,622.48-14.6%1710
2026-08-07$4,797.99$5,622.48-14.7%1710
2026-08-08$4,650.00$5,622.48-17.3%1710
2026-08-09$4,400.00$5,622.48-21.7%1710
2026-08-10$4,300.00$5,622.48-23.5%1610
2026-08-11$4,299.99$5,622.48-23.5%1710
2026-08-12$4,298.99$5,622.48-23.5%1810
2026-08-13$4,298.96$5,622.48-23.5%1710
2026-08-14$4,298.93$5,622.48-23.5%1710
2026-08-15$4,298.91$5,622.48-23.5%1810
2026-08-16$4,499.95$5,181.29-13.2%1410
2026-08-17$4,264.99$5,181.29-17.7%1510
2026-08-18$4,264.99$5,181.29-17.7%1510
2026-08-19$4,264.99$5,055.09-15.6%1410
2026-08-20$4,499.95$4,960.70-9.3%1310
2026-08-21$4,499.95$4,960.70-9.3%1310
2026-08-22$4,899.49$4,960.70-1.2%1310
2026-08-23$4,899.49$4,960.70-1.2%1310
2026-08-24$4,899.49$4,960.70-1.2%1310
2026-08-25$4,797.96$4,960.70-3.3%1510
2026-08-26$4,525.00$4,960.70-8.8%1610
2026-08-27$4,525.00$4,960.70-8.8%1610
2026-08-28$4,525.00$4,960.70-8.8%1710
2026-08-29$4,525.00$4,960.70-8.8%1710
2026-08-30$4,525.00$4,960.70-8.8%1710
2026-08-31$4,525.00$4,960.70-8.8%1710
2026-09-01$4,525.00$4,960.70-8.8%1510
2026-09-02$4,525.00$4,960.70-8.8%1510
2026-09-03$4,525.00$4,960.70-8.8%1510
2026-09-04$4,525.00$4,960.70-8.8%1410
2026-09-05$4,525.00$4,940.80-8.4%1410
2026-09-06$4,525.00$4,940.80-8.4%1410
2026-09-07$4,789.49$4,940.80-3.1%1310
2026-09-08$4,789.49$4,940.80-3.1%1310
2026-09-09$4,789.49$4,940.80-3.1%1410
2026-09-10$4,789.49$4,940.80-3.1%1410

Not yet included

  • 151 Booster Bundle 17 of 30 daily observations (since 2026-08-25)
  • 151 Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) 17 of 30 daily observations (since 2026-08-25)
  • 151 Ultra-Premium Collection 17 of 30 daily observations (since 2026-08-25)
  • Prismatic Evolutions Booster Bundle 17 of 30 daily observations (since 2026-08-25)
  • Prismatic Evolutions Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) 17 of 30 daily observations (since 2026-08-25)

A SKU joins the benchmark on the first daily refresh after it reaches 30 verified-floor observations.

FAQ

Does PriceCharting include shipping in its prices?

No. PriceCharting's own methodology page states plainly: "Shipping Costs Are Not Included. The prices shown do not include shipping costs or any other transaction related costs." (pricecharting.com/page/methodology, fetched 2026-08-06). TCGstacker's verified floor is the opposite: the cheapest actually-buyable TCGplayer listing including U.S. shipping, refetched daily since 2026-07-18.

Why compare against TCGplayer's market price instead of PriceCharting's?

TCGstacker records TCGplayer's own shipping-excluded Market Price on the same daily fetch as its verified floor, so the two numbers share a date. PriceCharting's number is a different shipping-excluded sold-average, blended from eBay sold listings, that TCGstacker does not have access to and cannot reproduce here.

Can I download the benchmark data?

No separate download exists. The gap table on this page lists one row per qualifying SKU, and each SKU's evidence table lists every daily observation: date, floor price including shipping, TCGplayer market price excluding shipping, gap, and listing counts. Those HTML tables are the public source for every figure here.

How is the gap computed?

Gap percent equals (floor price minus TCGplayer market price) divided by market price, computed on the same daily fetch. A SKU's headline gap is the median of that figure across paired days. A SKU joins the benchmark only after reaching at least 30 daily verified-floor observations, and the page publishes only once at least 3 SKUs qualify.

Prices: verified floor = cheapest buyable TCGplayer listing including shipping, updated daily. How we compute this →

TCGstacker publishes market data, not financial advice. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell anything.

Track this set: add it to a custom index (free account)

Cross-gameData
sealed-floor-benchmark

— Adrienne